Letter from America
November 26, 2007
“If there is a bus going to
Rhodesia, I will take it.”
The news of the death of former Rhodesian
Prime Minister Ian Smith will be a major public relations disaster for
Mugabe and ZANUPF in two ways.
First, it will inspire, heighten and
perpetuate the debate on whether life for Zimbabweans was better under Smith
or Mugabe. For the majority of Zimbabweans life under Mugabe has become the
worst disaster they have ever experienced in living memory. One very common
expression among Zimbabweans is: “We have never experienced such life of
abject misery and poverty, not even under Ian Smith”
The basic logic of the comparison runs like
this.
Ian Smith deprived Zimbabweans of their
human and political rights.
While black Zimbabweans were clearly treated
as second class citizens the economic conditions were not as pathetic as
under Mugabe.
Robert Mugabe has now almost totally
deprived Zimbabweans in the opposition movement of their human and political
rights.
Mugabe has also created social and economic
conditions that have reduced Zimbabweans to a Stone Age existence of
unprecedented proportions.
While Smith was intolerant of the Black
Nationalist opposition he was largely respectful of the political rights of
the white opposition. The only exceptions were relatively few whites like
Garfield Todd and Bishop Donal lamont. Smith never sent armed thugs to kill
jail or rape white opposition members.
The bottom line is simply that Smith created
bad conditions for Zimbabweans. Mugabe made them worse.
Such a comparison in which Zimbabweans will
clearly favor Smith as the lesser of two evils will deal a knock -out blow
on Mugabe’s anti white rhetoric. The logic against Mugabe’s crusade against
whites which precipitated the land invasions and seizure of commercial farms
will point to the fact that Mugabe has unleashed on Zimbabweans more
oppression, misery, suffering, hunger, economic meltdown than they ever
experienced under Smith.
Secondly the death of Smith will be a
reminder to Mugabe that, at the age of 84, he cannot take life for granted.
Smith was 88 years old when he died. At the age of about 51 years Smith was
prudent enough to give up power back in 1980. And at that relatively young
age Smith had an opportunity to rebuild his tarnished image not only by
cooperating in the transition to majority rule but also by leaving politics
altogether. For Mugabe who is determined to die in office because he has
absolutely no intention to give up power Zimbabweans and history will judge
him harshly.
The news of the death of Smith was met with
a somber resignation among Zimbabweans. If Mugabe were to shut his eyes and
imagine how the news of his death will be received among Zimbabweans he
should not be surprised that there will be all- night parties, street
celebrations and a deafening sigh of relief across the entire length and
breath of the country and around the world.
Judging by comments posted on the Internet
many Zimbabweans acknowledge that under Smith blacks had no political
rights and were subjected to a repressive regime of Smith. But when they
look at life under Mugabe they are pleasantly surprised that life under
Smith was not as bad as under Mugabe.
There are two interesting pictures
circulating the Internet. One shows empty shelves in supermarkets in
Zimbabwe today. Another shows well stocked shelves of goods and groceries
during the Ian Smith time. Next is a caption which simply reads: If there
is a bus going to Rhodesia I will take it.
Compare this to today’s Zimbabwe under
Mugabe.
Inflation doubled to about 15,000 percent.
Economists believe that the real inflation is somewhere around 40,000
percent and could reach 100,000 percent by the end of the year.
Four million Zimbabweans have
fled the country. Four out of every five Zimbabweans are unemployed. It is
estimated that close to 40 percent for the entire population will be in
need of food aid by end of the year. The average life expectancy has fallen
to 37 from around 60 years a decade ago.
The economy under Smith was in a far much
better shape, considering the fact that Rhodesia at the time was under the
United Nations economic sanctions! The Mugabe regime inherited at
independence a sound economic and social infrastructure. Granted that the
Zimbabwean population was about half what it is today and that Blacks were
denied their basic rights there was a viable black middle class.
On top of this very well developed economy
the Mugabe regime also inherited international goodwill in form of aid. A
donors’ conference to help Zimbabwe raised millions of dollars in pledges.
Zimbabweans who grew up under Smith will
remember him as a frugal man. He could be seen walking alone, no armed
guards, no convoy or gunship helicopter hovering over his motorcade, no
palaces or other very expensive lifestyles that characterize the Mugabe
regime. Ironically Smith’s army was over 70 percent black!
The comparative analysis between Smith and
Mugabe strengthens the view that African politics have for the most part
been a class struggle and not a revolution. Mugabe’s ascendancy to power
in 1980 was misinterpreted by the masses as a true transfer of political
power to the people of Zimbabwe. The one and only time Zimbabweans ever
exercised their political power was when they voted ZANUPF in power.
Mugabe’s notion of democratic centrism meant that once he and ZANUPF had
been voted into power they pulled the ladder to mark the end of civil and
political rights for the Zimbabweans.
What happened at independence in 1980 was
a handover of political power from a white elite class led by Smith to a
black elite class led by Mugabe. The social, economic and political
structures and legacies of colonialism remained intact. Smith’s Law and
Order Maintenance Act which was used to suppress blacks was retained and
strengthened into POSA an even more viciously repressive piece of
legislation.
Zimbabwean masses never gained any real
freedom. The terms of the so called freedom for Zimbabwe were defined by the
new black ruling elite. Whatever freedom or independence Zimbabweans enjoyed
in the first decade of independence was conditional on its not being a
threat to the ruling elite. In other words, as the song goes, the so
called freedom Zimbabweans inherited was when there was no longer anything
else to give. For the new ruling elite had grabbed everything else.
Zimbabweans were left with a shell and told it was independence. This was
freedom without substance, a symbolism, a myth and betrayal of all the
nationalist promises made to Zimbabweans during the struggle for
independence.
Zimbabweans remained marginalized in the
post colonial Zimbabwe just as much as they were denied their political
rights in the Smith colonial era.
Between 1980 and 1990 the black and white
elites shared power and the country’s wealth. But Mugabe was always
suspicious of a threat from his fellow black colleagues in the coalition,
especially Joshua Nkomo’s ZAPU. There is reason to believe that the so
called operation against the dissidents in early 1980s in which thousands
of innocent civilians were killed in Matabeleland was part of a project by
Mugabe to destroy Nkomo’s power base.
Mugabe only reacts viciously when he feels
threatened. Whites in Zimbabwe have never historically been a threat to
Mugabe since independence. The seizure of white commercial farms by
Mugabe’s thugs occurred for reasons that had nothing to do with land reform
or the now monotonous sing-song of recovering land that had been stolen
during colonialism. Of the 6,000 white commercial farmers who lost their
farms over 500,000 black farm workers were displaced and became homeless.
They live destitute lives, a clear indication that the seizure of commercial
farms was done for political reasons.
There is another theory that Mugabe saw
what appeared to be a new coalition between the commercial farmers and the
newly born and vibrant MDC. Mugabe’s advisers pointed out that the black
farmers were going to be a powerful political base for the MDC. The
coalition of black farm workers, commercial farmers and the urban residents
into supporting the MDC, especially after Mugabe’s loss of the referendum
of 2000 was a major threat that Mugabe had to do something about it.
During the Ian Smith regime this strategy
for destroying the opposition if it appeared to be emerging as a powerful
force was common. The banning of ZANU and ZAPU and the detention of the
nationalist leadership was intended to keep any political agitation among
blacks at a manageable level. But Smith knew that he needed to nurture a
black middle class that would act as a buffer between the privileged white
class and the masses.
The historic objectives of Smith’s and
Mugabe’s rule were similar : to maintain the political, social and economic
privileges of an elite class at their level and at the expense of the
masses.
Mugabe was simply far more brutal than
Smith.