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By Stanford G. Mukasa

Letter from America

November 19, 2007

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Opposition movement must build a vision and roadmap for a post Mugabe Zimbabwe

A think tank has recommended that  the  United States must shift  its policy toward helping  in the reconstruction of  the post -Mugabe Zimbabwe.  

However, some people may feel   all resources and all the focus must be  concentrated on defeating  Robert Mugabe and his regime and then dealing with  reconstruction issues later.

But  there is a historical precedent  as well as a good reason to start working now on  a long-term plan in reviving Zimbabwe’s tattered economy.

Zimbabwe has the  natural resources and the industrial base to  help it recover from years of  mishandling by  the Mugabe regime.  

Zimbabwe also has human resources, albeit, now scattered all over the world, that could be mobilized to restore the economy to its  leading position in the geopolitics of southern Africa.

The tragedy in the history of the anti- colonial struggles in Africa was that the nationalist leadership was too focused on  gaining political independence that they never developed a real vision for  a post- colonial robust economic development program.

And when independence came  the new  post- colonial leadership in Africa merely inherited and perpetuated the colonial infrastructure, social and political systems that in many situations effectively marginalized the vast majority of masses on whose behalf the very struggle for independence had ostensibly been fought.

One big lesson Zimbabweans  and indeed the international community must have learned  is that it makes a great deal of sense to ensure that  when independence is obtained the nation must hit the ground running.

When Zimbabwe obtained her independence in 1980 there  were hopes and assumptions that  the country had been prepared well  for self rule. Indeed Zimbabwe had, unlike many other African countries at the time of indepednence, a large pool of skilled  professionals.

Ironically, the delay in  gaining independence, over 20 years after Ghana gained  hers in 1957, meant  Zimbabwe had more time to learn from the experience of  post- colonial rule  in Africa.

And during the first ten years of Zimbabwe’s independence it looked like the  country  had   had a steady progress, earning it the name, the bread basket of the region.

But 20 years after independence Zimbabwe began to show signs of the social, economic and political strain  that characterized the vast majority of post-colonial African countries. The  situation further worsened after  the year  2000 when Mugabe  entrenched his rule, a situation that prevails to this day.

As the year 2007 comes to an end the opposition movement in Zimbabwe faces  challenges and opportunities in the coming year.

During a visit to the United States a few years ago a member of the opposition movement was asked the  question: If Mugabe were to step down today and power handed over to the opposition movement, would you be able to govern the country?”

Putting aside the motives, assumptions and naiveté behind the individual who raised this question, there is no doubt  that an international inquiry into what plans or  vision the MDC has for Zimbabwe, should it become the next government of Zimbabwe, is a valid  challenge for the  opposition movement.

To its credit, the MDC has  drawn up a number of plans for a post -Mugabe reconstruction of Zimbabwe. These plans are based on the  assumptions of the prevailing economic and political conditions and the expected time frame within which Mugabe and ZANUPF would hand over political power.  But this time frame is very difficult to determine because Mugabe and ZANUPF are determined to hang on to power all at costs and for  as long as it takes.

However, there is  one aspect of the MDC vision and plans for a post -Mugabe Zimbabwe that needs not be based on when Mugabe and ZANUPF will give up power.

MDC must begin immediately or continue to make an assessment of its  manpower and resource needs  for it to govern Zimbabwe.

The transition from a Mugabe regime to a new  regime can potentially be traumatic,  especially for the  very rich Zimbabweans who benefited from Mugabe’s tyrannical rule.  Every effort will be made by Mugabe’s super rich cronies to hang on to their ill -begotten wealth by frustrating any efforts to transform the country towards a new  geopolitical dispensation.

Phase One of the MDC master plan for the reconstruction of the post- Mugabe Zimbabwe must be a comprehensive inventory of the country’s manpower and resource needs. 

MDC must  have  full and complete information about who  occupies what positions in the  state system and civil service. Next, the MDC must  assess the level of risk associated with the  role the very same individual  could play in the post -Mugabe Zimbabwe.

The idea here is not  to embark on a wholesale purge of the civil service but  to ensure that when  change comes the new government will have individuals who will not only carry out, but are capable, professionally, of carrying out  the needed reforms.

An inventory of the training and educational needs of the country must also be undertaken. Under normal circumstances  the handover of political power would be accompanied by  a civil service that recognizes its new mission under a new administration.

But nothing is normal in Zimbabwe  under the Mugabe regime. While, undoubtedly, the majority in the civil service will be committed and enthusiastically support a new regime and a new  direction in the country,  there will be disgruntled elements who, having benefited from the past, will  do everything to  sustain their privileged positions.

The United States, Canada and  the European Community member countries have pledged aid for the reconstruction of the post -Mugabe Zimbabwe. Under the Zimbabwe Development and Reconstruction Act the United States has pledged up to $26 million to help Zimbabwe get  to her feet.

The opposition movement needs to come up with a phased plan that will  include  a training program  for Zimbabwean nationals who will be expected to help in the reconstruction and running of a post -Mugabe Zimbabwe. 

In 1967 the United Nations General Assembly  passed resolution 2349  which established the United Nations Educational and Training Program for Southern Africa or (UNETPSA).

The purpose of this program was to train nationals from the countries of southern Africa who were still under the yoke of colonialism and apartheid. These nationals were to be enrolled in training institutions around the world.

The aim was to have  a critical mass  of trained  professionals who would  be placed in strategic  positions within the civil service and government in the post-colonial and post-apartheid  southern Africa. 

Undoubtedly, countries of southern Africa benefited significantly  from this program when they gained independence.

With the possible exception of teachers, there were no significantly critical shortages of personnel needed for the civil service in Zimbabwe. This was partly because a large cohort of  the existing civil service that transitioned from the Ian Smith regime was  willing and ready to be part of the new post-colonial,  political  and social order. They contributed their expertise in the running of the  new state system. Admittedly, they were encouraged to stay and  benefited from the political settlement that  came from  negotiations.

Whatever the outcome of the ongoing negotiations  between the MDC and ZANUPF the opposition movement needs to embark on  putting together a blueprint of its  manpower resource needs, especially by tapping into the Zimbabweans in Diaspora. A lot  of skilled  professionals, academic, university professors, teachers, accountants, economists, administrators, doctors, lawyers, judges, engineers, journalists, sociologists, historians, information technology experts and scientists have fled Zimbabwe. In their place, Mugabe has staffed these positions with excombatants, soldiers, cronies and thugs, many of whom  will not have the qualifications and motivation to promote a post -Mugabe regime that will have a different vision to that of  Mugabe.

The Zimbabweans in Diaspora  are helping millions of starving Zimbabweans. It is estimated that  they remit  between $1 million and $3 million a day to their relatives in Zimbabwe.  The Zimbabweans in Diaspora are the second highest foreign income earner for Zimbabwe. But the Zimbabweans in Diaspora  are more than cash cows for the   desperate Zimbabweans at home. They have  the expertise and professional skills  needed to run the post -Mugabe Zimbabwe. While the vast majority of  the Zimbabweans in Diaspora are doing menial jobs, even when they have professional skills, there are  many other Zimbabweans who are practicing their professions abroad.

A good example are the staff at Short Wave Radio Africa and Studio 7.

Their daily broadcasts into Zimbabwe  have come to epitomize best practices in professional  broadcast journalism. Yet other professional Zimbabweans work in local municipal governments, hospitals as doctors and nurses,  at universities as professors, as well as  in other management, business, and scientific technical institutions. One Zimbabwean is employed as a senior advisor to the mayor of a large metropolitan city  here in the USA.

MDC needs to work with donor agencies in identifying and assisting with scholarships Zimbabweans who can be placed in training institutions for skills  that will be urgently needed  to jump-start the post -Mugabe regime.

Such a new order in Zimbabwe can never rely  on the  rag tag band of mercenaries, thugs and  veterans who are currently occupying  some of the positions in the civil service when they should be  behind bars for crimes against humanity.

However, unless the opposition movement begins such a training  program as well as identify the skilled and professional Zimbabweans in Diaspora who might be willing, subject to mutually acceptable conditions,  to return home at a moment’s notice, the new post -Mugabe regime might have to rely on the same thugs and cronies of Mugabe for staffing some of the civil service positions.

To make matters worse, the new regime after Mugabe might find itself relying for its civil service on some of the very same people who have driven Zimbabwe to the ground. Bad governance in Zimbabwe and the subsequent ruination of the  country’s economic and social infrastructure  cannot be attributed to Mugabe alone but to his butchers’ helpers  manning the strategic positions in  government as well as in civil service.

Some members of the civil service might in mitigation argue that their roles were to carry out orders from above. This may be true, but only to some extent.  A British TV series called Yes, Minister, while giving a British experience of the role and influence of the civil servants especially permanent secretaries, gave at the same time a revealing insight into the potential influence of  permanent secretaries in many  administrations.  

The fact is Mugabe alone cannot have possibly  wreaked so much havoc on Zimbabwe without  the enthusiastic support and active participation of his cronies in the civil service.

A professional civil service will need to function in an environment of an empowered civil society. The basic element of  a civil society  are  a  respect for the rule of law and  well organized and politically active  civil society institutions like trade unions, youth, student and women’s  movement, church groups and others. These will form the pillar of  a public watchdog movement  against  excesses, undemocratic practices as well as corruption in government.  

The opposition movement must ensure that these  institutions are  a well oiled machinery that  are up and functioning  especially in the struggle against the dictatorship of Mugabe.

When the world of Mugabe and ZANUPF ends, whenever that will be, the people of Zimbabwe will expect a real sociopolitical structural change and not just a superimposition of a new leadership over the oppressive structures established by Mugabe.