Opposition movement must
build a vision and roadmap for a post Mugabe Zimbabwe
A think tank has recommended that the
United States must shift its policy toward helping in the reconstruction
of the post -Mugabe Zimbabwe.
However, some people may feel all
resources and all the focus must be concentrated on defeating Robert
Mugabe and his regime and then dealing with reconstruction issues later.
But there is a historical precedent as
well as a good reason to start working now on a long-term plan in reviving
Zimbabwe’s tattered economy.
Zimbabwe has the natural resources and the
industrial base to help it recover from years of mishandling by the
Mugabe regime.
Zimbabwe
also has human resources, albeit, now scattered all over the world, that
could be mobilized to restore the economy to its leading position in the
geopolitics of southern Africa.
The tragedy in the history of the anti-
colonial struggles in Africa was that the nationalist leadership was too
focused on gaining political independence that they never developed a real
vision for a post- colonial robust economic development program.
And when independence came the new post-
colonial leadership in Africa merely inherited and perpetuated the colonial
infrastructure, social and political systems that in many situations
effectively marginalized the vast majority of masses on whose behalf the
very struggle for independence had ostensibly been fought.
One big lesson Zimbabweans and indeed the
international community must have learned is that it makes a great deal of
sense to ensure that when independence is obtained the nation must hit the
ground running.
When Zimbabwe obtained her independence in
1980 there were hopes and assumptions that the country had been prepared
well for self rule. Indeed Zimbabwe had, unlike many other African
countries at the time of indepednence, a large pool of skilled
professionals.
Ironically, the delay in gaining
independence, over 20 years after Ghana gained hers in 1957, meant
Zimbabwe had more time to learn from the experience of post- colonial rule
in Africa.
And during the first ten years of Zimbabwe’s
independence it looked like the country had had a steady progress,
earning it the name, the bread basket of the region.
But 20 years after independence Zimbabwe
began to show signs of the social, economic and political strain that
characterized the vast majority of post-colonial African countries. The
situation further worsened after the year 2000 when Mugabe entrenched his
rule, a situation that prevails to this day.
As the year 2007 comes to an end the
opposition movement in Zimbabwe faces challenges and opportunities in the
coming year.
During a visit to the United States a few
years ago a member of the opposition movement was asked the question: If
Mugabe were to step down today and power handed over to the opposition
movement, would you be able to govern the country?”
Putting aside the motives, assumptions and
naiveté behind the individual who raised this question, there is no doubt
that an international inquiry into what plans or vision the MDC has for
Zimbabwe, should it become the next government of Zimbabwe, is a valid
challenge for the opposition movement.
To its credit, the MDC has drawn up a
number of plans for a post -Mugabe reconstruction of Zimbabwe. These plans
are based on the assumptions of the prevailing economic and political
conditions and the expected time frame within which Mugabe and ZANUPF would
hand over political power. But this time frame is very difficult to
determine because Mugabe and ZANUPF are determined to hang on to power all
at costs and for as long as it takes.
However, there is one aspect of the MDC
vision and plans for a post -Mugabe Zimbabwe that needs not be based on when
Mugabe and ZANUPF will give up power.
MDC must begin immediately or continue to
make an assessment of its manpower and resource needs for it to govern
Zimbabwe.
The transition from a Mugabe regime to a
new regime can potentially be traumatic, especially for the very rich
Zimbabweans who benefited from Mugabe’s tyrannical rule. Every effort will
be made by Mugabe’s super rich cronies to hang on to their ill -begotten
wealth by frustrating any efforts to transform the country towards a new
geopolitical dispensation.
Phase One of the MDC master plan for the
reconstruction of the post- Mugabe Zimbabwe must be a comprehensive
inventory of the country’s manpower and resource needs.
MDC must have full and complete
information about who occupies what positions in the state system and
civil service. Next, the MDC must assess the level of risk associated with
the role the very same individual could play in the post -Mugabe Zimbabwe.
The idea here is not to embark on a
wholesale purge of the civil service but to ensure that when change comes
the new government will have individuals who will not only carry out, but
are capable, professionally, of carrying out the needed reforms.
An inventory of the training and educational
needs of the country must also be undertaken. Under normal circumstances
the handover of political power would be accompanied by a civil service
that recognizes its new mission under a new administration.
But nothing is normal in Zimbabwe under the
Mugabe regime. While, undoubtedly, the majority in the civil service will be
committed and enthusiastically support a new regime and a new direction in
the country, there will be disgruntled elements who, having benefited from
the past, will do everything to sustain their privileged positions.
The United States, Canada and the European
Community member countries have pledged aid for the reconstruction of the
post -Mugabe Zimbabwe. Under the Zimbabwe Development and Reconstruction Act
the United States has pledged up to $26 million to help Zimbabwe get to her
feet.
The opposition movement needs to come up
with a phased plan that will include a training program for Zimbabwean
nationals who will be expected to help in the reconstruction and running of
a post -Mugabe Zimbabwe.
In 1967 the United Nations General Assembly
passed resolution 2349 which established the United Nations Educational and
Training Program for Southern Africa or (UNETPSA).
The purpose of this program was to train
nationals from the countries of southern Africa who were still under the
yoke of colonialism and apartheid. These nationals were to be enrolled in
training institutions around the world.
The aim was to have a critical mass of
trained professionals who would be placed in strategic positions within
the civil service and government in the post-colonial and post-apartheid
southern Africa.
Undoubtedly, countries of southern Africa
benefited significantly from this program when they gained independence.
With the possible exception of teachers,
there were no significantly critical shortages of personnel needed for the
civil service in Zimbabwe. This was partly because a large cohort of the
existing civil service that transitioned from the Ian Smith regime was
willing and ready to be part of the new post-colonial, political and
social order. They contributed their expertise in the running of the new
state system. Admittedly, they were encouraged to stay and benefited from
the political settlement that came from negotiations.
Whatever the outcome of the ongoing
negotiations between the MDC and ZANUPF the opposition movement needs to
embark on putting together a blueprint of its manpower resource needs,
especially by tapping into the Zimbabweans in Diaspora. A lot of skilled
professionals, academic, university professors, teachers, accountants,
economists, administrators, doctors, lawyers, judges, engineers,
journalists, sociologists, historians, information technology experts and
scientists have fled Zimbabwe. In their place, Mugabe has staffed these
positions with excombatants, soldiers, cronies and thugs, many of whom will
not have the qualifications and motivation to promote a post -Mugabe regime
that will have a different vision to that of Mugabe.
The Zimbabweans in Diaspora are helping
millions of starving Zimbabweans. It is estimated that they remit between
$1 million and $3 million a day to their relatives in Zimbabwe. The
Zimbabweans in Diaspora are the second highest foreign income earner for
Zimbabwe. But the Zimbabweans in Diaspora are more than cash cows for the
desperate Zimbabweans at home. They have the expertise and professional
skills needed to run the post -Mugabe Zimbabwe. While the vast majority of
the Zimbabweans in Diaspora are doing menial jobs, even when they have
professional skills, there are many other Zimbabweans who are practicing
their professions abroad.
A good example are the staff at Short
Wave Radio Africa and Studio 7.
Their daily broadcasts into Zimbabwe have
come to epitomize best practices in professional broadcast journalism. Yet
other professional Zimbabweans work in local municipal governments,
hospitals as doctors and nurses, at universities as professors, as well as
in other management, business, and scientific technical institutions. One
Zimbabwean is employed as a senior advisor to the mayor of a large
metropolitan city here in the USA.
MDC needs to work with donor agencies in
identifying and assisting with scholarships Zimbabweans who can be placed in
training institutions for skills that will be urgently needed to
jump-start the post -Mugabe regime.
Such a new order in Zimbabwe can never rely
on the rag tag band of mercenaries, thugs and veterans who are currently
occupying some of the positions in the civil service when they should be
behind bars for crimes against humanity.
However, unless the opposition movement
begins such a training program as well as identify the skilled and
professional Zimbabweans in Diaspora who might be willing, subject to
mutually acceptable conditions, to return home at a moment’s notice, the
new post -Mugabe regime might have to rely on the same thugs and cronies of
Mugabe for staffing some of the civil service positions.
To make matters worse, the new regime after
Mugabe might find itself relying for its civil service on some of the very
same people who have driven Zimbabwe to the ground. Bad governance in
Zimbabwe and the subsequent ruination of the country’s economic and social
infrastructure cannot be attributed to Mugabe alone but to his butchers’
helpers manning the strategic positions in government as well as in civil
service.
Some members of the civil service might in
mitigation argue that their roles were to carry out orders from above. This
may be true, but only to some extent. A British TV series called Yes,
Minister, while giving a British experience of the role and influence of
the civil servants especially permanent secretaries, gave at the same time a
revealing insight into the potential influence of permanent secretaries in
many administrations.
The fact is Mugabe alone cannot have
possibly wreaked so much havoc on Zimbabwe without the enthusiastic
support and active participation of his cronies in the civil service.
A professional civil service will need to
function in an environment of an empowered civil society. The basic element
of a civil society are a respect for the rule of law and well organized
and politically active civil society institutions like trade unions, youth,
student and women’s movement, church groups and others. These will form the
pillar of a public watchdog movement against excesses, undemocratic
practices as well as corruption in government.
The opposition movement must ensure that
these institutions are a well oiled machinery that are up and
functioning especially in the struggle against the dictatorship of Mugabe.
When the world of Mugabe and ZANUPF ends,
whenever that will be, the people of Zimbabwe will expect a real
sociopolitical structural change and not just a superimposition of a new
leadership over the oppressive structures established by Mugabe.